Jill Manthorpe and Steve Iliffe, BMJ, 18 January 2021
We need public and political consensus about long term options
Our population is not ageing well. The proportion of older people affected by medium to high disability in England is increasing, but social care cannot meet their needs and seems curiously separate from the NHS. It took a global pandemic for data on care home capacity to be collected weekly and shared with England’s regulators and commissioners.
If we assume that half of older people with medium to high disability are cared for in their own homes, by 2025 an additional 71 000 care home places could be needed. Some 5500 organisations operate care homes; 90% of these are private providers, including some charities. The five largest chains in England provide only 15% of places. Around 70% of providers have three or fewer care homes. Most care homes are small enterprises run by owner managers.
Read in full at source in the BMJ: https://www.bmj.com/content/372/bmj.n118